Belgium Population Projections by Scenario 2096-2100

Key Insights:

• The High Migration scenario (HMIGR) projects the highest population for Belgium, reaching approximately 13.80 million by 2100.
• The No Migration scenario (NMIGR) shows the most dramatic population decline, dropping to about 8.46 million by 2100.
• The Baseline scenario (BSL) projects a declining population from 12.61 million in 2096 to 12.56 million by 2100.
• Migration patterns have the most significant impact on Belgium’s future population size, with a difference of over 5 million people between high and no migration scenarios.
• The Low Mortality scenario (LMRT) shows relatively stable population trends, maintaining around 12.8 million throughout the period.

Projection Scenarios:

• BSL (Baseline): Main projection scenario with current demographic trends
• HMIGR (High Migration): Scenario with higher migration rates
• LFRT (Low Fertility): Scenario with lower fertility rates
• LMIGR (Low Migration): Scenario with lower migration rates
• LMRT (Low Mortality): Scenario with lower mortality rates
• NMIGR (No Migration): Scenario with zero net migration