Key Insights:
- The High Migration scenario (HMIGR) projects the highest population for Germany, reaching approximately 94.15 million by 2100.
- The No Migration scenario (NMIGR) shows the most dramatic population decline, dropping to about 53.05 million by 2100.
- The Baseline scenario (BSL) projects a stable population of around 84.12 million throughout the period.
- Migration patterns have the most significant impact on Germany’s future population size, with a difference of over 41 million people between high and no migration scenarios.
- All scenarios show relatively stable trends between 2096-2100, suggesting demographic patterns are well-established by this future period.
Projection Scenarios:
- BSL (Baseline): Main projection scenario with current demographic trends
- HMIGR (High Migration): Scenario with higher migration rates
- LFRT (Low Fertility): Scenario with lower fertility rates
- LMIGR (Low Migration): Scenario with lower migration rates
- LMRT (Low Mortality): Scenario with lower mortality rates
- NMIGR (No Migration): Scenario with zero net migration
Demographic Indicator Forecast (NUTS0)
DE (Germany)Data-Level: DE Source: Eurostat - Demographic Indicator Forecast (NUTS0), Dataset: proj_23ndbi
Need more information?
Project manager:
Franziska Görmar
IfL - Leibniz Institute for Regional Geography, Germany
Email
This project is supported by the Interreg CENTRAL EUROPE Programme with co-financing from the European Regional Development Fund.
Find more information about the x-Inno Radar project on the Interreg CE projectwebsite.
x-Inno Radar is a project of:
Creative Region Linz & Upper Austria Gmbh,
The Regional Chamber of Commerce of the Karlovy Vary Region,
Padova Chamber of Commerce, Industry, Crafts and Agriculture,
Creative Industry Košice, n. o.,
BSC, Business support centre, ltd., Kranj,
Regional Development Agency in Bielsko-Biała,
Stebo Competence Centre Community Developmentm,
Association of Cultural and Creative Industries Chemnitz and Region (Creative Chemnitz),
Leibniz Institute for Regional Geography – Germany,
Otelo Cooperative
