Italy Population Projections by Scenario 2096-2100

Key Insights:

• The High Migration scenario (HMIGR) projects the highest population for Italy, maintaining around 57.3-57.4 million by 2100.
• The No Migration scenario (NMIGR) shows the most dramatic population decline, dropping to about 28.2 million by 2100.
• The Baseline scenario (BSL) projects a steady decline from 50.6 million to 50.2 million throughout the period.
• Migration patterns have the most significant impact on Italy’s future population size, with a difference of nearly 29 million people between high and no migration scenarios.
• All scenarios show consistent trends between 2096-2100, with most displaying gradual population declines except for the high migration scenario.

Projection Scenarios:

• BSL (Baseline): Main projection scenario with current demographic trends
• HMIGR (High Migration): Scenario with higher migration rates
• LFRT (Low Fertility): Scenario with lower fertility rates
• LMIGR (Low Migration): Scenario with lower migration rates
• LMRT (Low Mortality): Scenario with lower mortality rates
• NMIGR (No Migration): Scenario with zero net migration