Poland Population Projections by Scenario 2096-2100

Key Insights:

• The High Migration scenario (HMIGR) projects the highest population for Poland, reaching approximately 31.90 million by 2100.
• The No Migration scenario (NMIGR) shows the most dramatic population decline, dropping to about 24.07 million by 2100.
• The Baseline scenario (BSL) projects a declining population from 29.60 million in 2096 to 29.52 million by 2100.
• Migration patterns have significant impact on Poland’s future population size, with a difference of nearly 7.8 million people between high and no migration scenarios.
• The Low Fertility scenario (LFRT) shows the steepest decline, dropping from 25.15 million to 24.79 million over the 5-year period.

Projection Scenarios:

• BSL (Baseline): Main projection scenario with current demographic trends
• HMIGR (High Migration): Scenario with higher migration rates
• LFRT (Low Fertility): Scenario with lower fertility rates
• LMIGR (Low Migration): Scenario with lower migration rates
• LMRT (Low Mortality): Scenario with lower mortality rates
• NMIGR (No Migration): Scenario with zero net migration